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Understanding IPOs – Part 2

May 28, 2026   |   6 minute read

Recent Trends in IPO Markets 

Initial public offerings attract significant attention when recognizable companies enter public markets. However, in recent years a broader, more structural trend has developed. Fewer companies are going public than in prior decades, and many that do wait longer before entering public markets. 

That shift reflects larger changes in capital markets. Private companies have greater access to funding, investors have supported businesses staying private longer, and the costs associated with public markets have increased. Together, those changes have reshaped the IPO landscape. 

Fewer Public Companies Than in Prior Decades 

One of the clearest long-term changes in U.S. equity markets is the decline in the number of publicly traded companies. Research summarized by the National Bureau of Economic Research found that the number of U.S. exchange-listed firms declined from roughly 8,000 in 1996 to approximately 4,100 by 2012.1 More recent data from the World Bank suggest additional contraction in the number of public companies since then.  

Source: World Bank (https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/CM.MKT.LDOM.NO?locations=US) 

Several factors help explain the decline. Private companies now have significantly greater access to capital than they did in prior decades. Research generally points to a combination of factors rather than a single cause. 

Venture capital, private equity, institutional funding, and secondary private markets allow many businesses to grow without entering public markets as early.2 

Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence (https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/articles/2025/4/us-private-equity-aum-hits-3128-trillion-in-2024-88099590) 

Costs and obligations associated with becoming a public company have increased, particularly for smaller firms. Regulatory requirements, reporting obligations, and public market scrutiny can create meaningful operational and financial burdens. 

Mergers, acquisitions, and take-private transactions further reduce the number of listed firms over time.  

The result is a market with fewer, but generally larger and more mature, public companies. It’s not that businesses are avoiding public markets entirely, rather they are waiting longer before pursuing an IPO.  

IPO Activity Over the Past Decade 

Against that backdrop, IPO activity during the past decade remained cyclical and heavily influenced by market conditions, interest rates, and investor appetite for risk. 

The years following the global financial crisis brought a gradual burgeoning of the IPO market, though issuance remained below the levels seen during earlier periods.  

Long-term IPO data compiled by Jay Ritter shows that issuance remained well below the extremes reached during the late 1990s technology boom and the 2020 to 2021 surge.3 Conditions improved during the late 2010s and accelerated sharply in 2020 and 2021. Low interest rates, strong equity performance, and abundant liquidity created a favorable environment for companies seeking to go public. 

That period also saw a significant increase in special purpose acquisition company, or SPAC, activity, creating an additional route to public markets beyond traditional IPOs. 

The environment changed materially in 2022. Higher interest rates, weaker valuations, and elevated volatility made public offerings substantially more difficult. Many planned IPOs were delayed or withdrawn altogether. Activity remained subdued through much of 2023 as companies and investors adjusted to a more restrictive market environment. 

Source: Jay R. Ritter, University of Florida, IPO Data and updated long-run IPO return tables, 2026 updates. 

Trends in the Current IPO Market 

Since the slowdown in 2022, the IPO market has gradually improved, though the recovery is uneven. 

2024 was a year of modest recovery, followed by stronger activity in 2025, driven primarily by larger offerings. Deloitte’s 2026 outlook similarly described a reopening market that remains highly dependent on favorable issuance windows and stable market conditions.4 

One defining characteristic of the current market is selectivity. Rather than broad-based issuance across industries and company types, activity has concentrated within periods of lower volatility and stronger investor sentiment. Companies remain highly sensitive to inflation expectations, interest rates, policy uncertainty, and broader market conditions when evaluating whether to move forward with an IPO. 

Companies entering public markets recently have generally been more mature than many emerging during the 2020 and 2021 cycle. EY noted that larger offerings represented a greater share of activity in 2025, while PwC highlighted a backlog of IPO-ready companies with stronger balance sheets and clearer paths to profitability.5 

This does not guarantee stronger outcomes for every offering. It does suggest, however, that investors have become more selective and increasingly focused on fundamentals. 

In addition, sector concentration remains notable. Deloitte’s 2026 outlook identified continued strength in areas such as artificial intelligence, aerospace and defense, and financial services. EY similarly emphasized the role of larger growth-oriented companies in driving issuance activity. In other words, the recovery has not been evenly distributed. 

What This Means for Investors 

Today’s IPO market looks materially different from the one many investors remember from earlier decades. There are fewer public companies, private capital plays a larger role in business growth, and many firms now remain private longer before entering public markets. IPO activity still responds to economic cycles and market conditions. The structure of the market itself, however, has also evolved.6 

That shift helps explain why recent IPO activity has felt uneven. The market has recovered from the slowdown experienced in 2022, but conditions have not returned to the unusually accommodative environment seen during 2020 and 2021. Recent issuance has generally been more selective, more dependent on timing, and more concentrated among companies able to meet higher investor expectations around profitability, scale, and financial stability. 

Understanding those structural changes matters. IPO activity can provide insight into investor sentiment, capital availability, and broader market conditions. It can also reflect how companies increasingly balance the benefits of public markets against the flexibility available in private capital markets. 

Complete financial peace of mind requires understanding not only where markets are today, but also how the structure of markets continues to evolve. 

[1] https://www.nber.org/digest/sep15/why-are-there-so-few-public-companies-us?
[2] https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/18/looking-behind-the-declining-number-of-public-companies/
[3] https://site.warrington.ufl.edu/ritter/files/IPO-Statistics.pdf?
[4] https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/services/audit-assurance/blogs/accounting-finance/ipo-market-outlook-recap-and-forecast.html
[5] https://www.pwc.com/us/en/services/consulting/deals/library/capital-markets-september-fed-meeting.html; https://www.ey.com/en_us/insights/ipo/ipo-market-trends
[6] https://www.nber.org/reporter/2018number2/shrinking-universe-public-firms-facts-causes-and-consequences?page=1&perPage=50

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